6/25/09

Devolution: 20 Predictions

Peacenik has posted a lot about societal collapse. And Peacenik has thought a lot about societal collapse. But Peacenik has had a hard time visualizing what societal collapse will look like.

Charles Hugh Smith in this post, posits a possible and plausible scenario. But Charles Hugh Smith sees a fairly benign response from the sheeple as their standard of living disappears. The sheeple have shown a great tolerance for the race to the bottom, many cheering it on as they themselves get sucked to the bottom. Devolution or revolution? Passive or violent? Peacenik still thinks it will be a revolution. And a violent one.


Devolution: 20 Predictions

As cities, counties and states default on their obligations and unemployment insurance runs out, devolution sets in.


While some see a collapse of society in our future, right now I see devolution, not revolution. Devolution is both the process of degeneration and the surrender of governmental powers from central authorities to local authorities.

Devolution will take many forms. The key driver behind devolution is simple: there's not enough money to fund the status quo, so something has to be cut, axed, trimmed or devolved. Examples already abound: the number of school days in the year are reduced to shave expenses, two-times-a-week trash pickup is cut to once a week, etc.

The key constraint on devolution is also simple: the status quo power structure must be left intact. Nobody will willingly surrender their power, so devolution means services and front-end expenses will be cut in order to protect back-end administrative powers.

Read on...